Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
71.7%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
9.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.1% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Angers | 9.1% | 10.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Lyon / Angers | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Angers | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
9.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
9.0
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.2
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Angers
0-0
Lyon
Sep 2025
Lyon
1-0
Angers
May 2025
Lyon
2-0
Angers
Dec 2024
Angers
0-3
Lyon
Feb 2023
Angers
1-3
Lyon
Sep 2022
Lyon
5-0
Angers
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.