Skip to content
Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
2–2
HT 1–1
59% 26% 15%
Home win
59.0%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
14.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 59.0% 1.70
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Lorient 14.6% 6.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.75
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.36
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.20
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.8% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 85.4% 1.17
Angers / Lorient 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Lorient 41.0% 2.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
6.4
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
11.8
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.3
8.7
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.0
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Lorient goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.