Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
31%
27%
42%
Home win
31.1%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
42.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Lorient / Montpellier | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
8.7
|
7.1
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
12.6
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.5
|
5.7
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.2
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2024
Montpellier
2-0
Lorient
Oct 2023
Lorient
0-3
Montpellier
May 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Dec 2022
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Feb 2022
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier
Aug 2021
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.