Saturday 22 October 2016, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
13.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Lorient | 13.8% | 7.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.9% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Dijon / Lorient | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.8
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.0
|
6.9
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.