Skip to content
Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
11% 8% 81%
Home win
11.0%
Draw
7.6%
Away win
81.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 11.0% 9.10
Draw 7.6% 13.09
Metz 81.4% 1.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0%
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.0%
Over 2.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.0% 25,000.00
Over 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 3.5 0.0% 4,347.83
Over 4.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 4.5 0.1% 1,010.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 99.4% 1.01
No 0.6% 170.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 18.6% 5.37
Dijon / Metz 92.4% 1.08
Draw / Metz 89.0% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.4
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.7
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.5
1.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.5
1.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.