Saturday 13 January 2018, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
63%
21%
16%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Metz | 15.6% | 6.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Dijon / Metz | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
7.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Dijon
1-5
Metz
Nov 2020
Metz
1-1
Dijon
Dec 2019
Dijon
2-2
Metz
Oct 2017
Metz
1-2
Dijon
Feb 2017
Metz
2-1
Dijon
Sep 2016
Dijon
0-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.