Saturday 16 December 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
64%
23%
13%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Metz | 12.6% | 7.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Metz | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
10.8
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.7
|
9.2
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2024
Montpellier
3-0
Metz
Dec 2023
Metz
0-1
Montpellier
May 2022
Montpellier
2-2
Metz
Dec 2021
Metz
1-3
Montpellier
Feb 2021
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Dec 2020
Montpellier
0-2
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.