Sunday 3 December 2017, 22:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
30%
28%
41%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
41.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Marseille | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Marseille | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
10.5
|
7.7
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.5
|
8.7
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.2
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.7
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Marseille
5-1
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-5
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Dec 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Marseille
Mar 2023
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.