Sunday 26 November 2017, 18:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
67%
20%
13%
Home win
67.4%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.8% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Marseille / Guingamp | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
9.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.3
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Guingamp
1-3
Marseille
Sep 2018
Marseille
4-0
Guingamp
May 2018
Guingamp
3-3
Marseille
Feb 2017
Marseille
2-0
Guingamp
Aug 2016
Guingamp
2-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.