Wednesday 8 February 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
48%
29%
23%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
23.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Marseille / Guingamp | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
8.3
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.4
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
8.8
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Guingamp
1-3
Marseille
Sep 2018
Marseille
4-0
Guingamp
May 2018
Guingamp
3-3
Marseille
Nov 2017
Marseille
1-0
Guingamp
Aug 2016
Guingamp
2-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.