Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
60%
26%
14%
Home win
60.4%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
14.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Nice / Guingamp | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
6.0
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.0
|
11.5
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.6
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
3-0
Guingamp
Dec 2018
Guingamp
0-0
Nice
Mar 2018
Guingamp
2-5
Nice
Aug 2017
Nice
2-0
Guingamp
Nov 2016
Guingamp
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.