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Friday 20 January 2017, 21:45 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
21% 31% 48%
Home win
20.9%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
48.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 20.9% 4.79
Draw 31.1% 3.21
Nice 48.0% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 1.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.6% 3.16
Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.23
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 19.86
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.6% 2.66
No 62.4% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 52.0% 1.92
Bastia / Nice 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Nice 79.1% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
16.6
10.8
4.5
1.4
0.4
1
9.3
13.3
7.9
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
3.7
4.6
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.