Sunday 11 December 2016, 21:45
Parc des Princes
Full time
46%
30%
24%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
24.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Nice | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Nice | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
9.3
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
13.7
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Nice
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-0
Nice
Apr 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Nice
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.