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Sunday 20 November 2016, 21:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
36% 33% 31%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
30.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 36.1% 2.77
Draw 33.0% 3.03
Nice 30.9% 3.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.61
Over 1.5 58.7% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.3% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.97
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 69.1% 1.45
Saint Etienne / Nice 67.0% 1.49
Draw / Nice 63.9% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
12.4
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
1
13.8
14.3
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
7.5
6.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.5
2.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.