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Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
31% 23% 46%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 31.0% 3.23
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Monaco 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.46
Over 1.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.2% 7.06
Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 3.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 3.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.5% 3.92
Under 4.5 74.5% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.7% 1.50
No 33.3% 3.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 54.5% 1.84
Saint Etienne / Monaco 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Monaco 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
5.7
5.9
3.7
1.7
0.6
1
4.5
10.1
9.0
5.6
2.6
1.0
2
3.9
7.3
6.8
4.3
2.0
0.7
3
2.0
3.7
3.5
2.2
1.0
0.4
4
0.7
1.4
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.