Sunday 16 October 2016, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
14.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Dijon | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.8% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Dijon | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
10.2
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.9
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
6.8
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2019
Dijon
1-2
Saint Etienne
Feb 2019
Dijon
0-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2018
Saint Etienne
3-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.