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Sunday 18 September 2016, 18:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
67% 18% 15%
Home win
67.0%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
15.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 67.0% 1.49
Draw 18.1% 5.54
Bastia 15.0% 6.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.64
Over 1.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.1% 9.00
Over 2.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 2.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 3.5 50.8% 1.97
Under 3.5 49.2% 2.03
Over 4.5 31.4% 3.18
Under 4.5 68.6% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.7% 1.57
No 36.3% 2.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 85.0% 1.18
Saint Etienne / Bastia 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Bastia 33.0% 3.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
5.8
7.7
4.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
2
8.0
9.2
5.4
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.8
7.8
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
4
4.3
5.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
2.2
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.