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Friday 9 September 2016, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
1–1
HT 0–0
Saint Etienne
53% 25% 22%
Home win
52.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
22.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 52.6% 1.90 — —
Draw 25.3% 3.96 — —
Saint Etienne 22.1% 4.53 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08 — —
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.06 — —
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31 — —
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.28 — —
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93 — —
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07 — —
Over 3.5 29.6% 3.38 — —
Under 3.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.96 — —
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.4% 1.87 — —
No 46.6% 2.15 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 77.9% 1.28 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Saint Etienne 74.7% 1.34 — —
Draw / Saint Etienne 47.4% 2.11 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
6.0
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
10.3
12.0
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.7
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
5.4
5.6
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.3
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W W L
Saint Etienne
L W D

Head to head

Mar 2025 Saint Etienne 1-6 Paris Saint Germain Jan 2025 Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Saint Etienne Feb 2022 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Saint Etienne Nov 2021 Saint Etienne 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Apr 2021 Paris Saint Germain 3-2 Saint Etienne Jan 2021 Saint Etienne 1-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.