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Sunday 28 August 2016, 18:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
Saint Etienne
0–0
HT 0–0
Toulouse
27% 18% 55%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
55.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 26.9% 3.72 — —
Draw 17.9% 5.60 — —
Toulouse 55.3% 1.81 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.0% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 1.0% 103.84 — —
Over 1.5 96.0% 1.04 — —
Under 1.5 4.0% 25.21 — —
Over 2.5 87.1% 1.15 — —
Under 2.5 12.9% 7.75 — —
Over 3.5 72.8% 1.37 — —
Under 3.5 27.2% 3.67 — —
Over 4.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Under 4.5 45.0% 2.22 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 82.7% 1.21 — —
No 17.3% 5.76 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 44.7% 2.24 — —
Saint Etienne / Toulouse 82.1% 1.22 — —
Draw / Toulouse 73.1% 1.37 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.0
1.8
3.0
2.8
2.1
1.2
1
1.2
4.5
6.1
5.9
4.2
2.4
2
1.5
4.3
6.3
6.0
4.4
2.5
3
1.0
3.0
4.3
4.2
3.0
1.7
4
0.5
1.5
2.2
2.1
1.5
0.9
5
0.2
0.6
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.4
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Toulouse goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Saint Etienne
L W
Toulouse
D W

Head to head

May 2025 Saint Etienne 2-3 Toulouse Dec 2024 Toulouse 2-1 Saint Etienne Sep 2019 Saint Etienne 2-2 Toulouse Apr 2019 Saint Etienne 2-0 Toulouse Sep 2018 Toulouse 2-3 Saint Etienne Jan 2018 Saint Etienne 2-0 Toulouse

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.