Sunday 14 January 2018, 16:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
40%
32%
27%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
27.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 19.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Toulouse | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.7
|
11.2
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
14.1
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
7.4
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
2-3
Toulouse
Dec 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2019
Saint Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2019
Saint Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Sep 2018
Toulouse
2-3
Saint Etienne
Oct 2017
Toulouse
0-0
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.