Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50
Stadium Municipal
Full time
24%
26%
49%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
49.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Lyon | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 12.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Lyon | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
10.5
|
9.0
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.6
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.2
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Toulouse
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2025
Lyon
1-2
Toulouse
Jan 2025
Lyon
0-0
Toulouse
Sep 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.