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Wednesday 29 November 2017, 20:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
35% 31% 33%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 35.5% 2.82
Draw 31.2% 3.21
Nice 33.3% 3.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 7.99
Over 1.5 64.0% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.0% 2.78
Over 2.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.89
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.7% 15.01
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 66.7% 1.50
Toulouse / Nice 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Nice 64.5% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
11.5
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
12.0
14.3
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.0
7.4
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.