Sunday 19 November 2017, 16:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
25%
29%
47%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
46.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 24.7% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Nice | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.5% | 9.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.6% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Caen / Nice | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.5
|
12.8
|
9.4
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
13.5
|
8.8
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
6.0
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
0-1
Caen
Aug 2018
Caen
1-1
Nice
May 2018
Nice
4-1
Caen
Mar 2017
Nice
2-2
Caen
Nov 2016
Caen
1-0
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.