Saturday 21 October 2017, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
88%
8%
3%
Home win
88.5%
Draw
8.4%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.4% | 11.89 | — | — |
| Caen | 3.1% | 32.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 46.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.2% | 10.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Monaco / Caen | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
6.3
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.3
|
7.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.4
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Monaco
0-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
0-1
Monaco
May 2018
Caen
1-2
Monaco
Mar 2017
Caen
0-3
Monaco
Dec 2016
Monaco
2-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.