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Friday 29 September 2017, 21:45 Stade Louis II Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
89% 8% 3%
Home win
89.0%
Draw
7.8%
Away win
3.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 89.0% 1.12
Draw 7.8% 12.83
Montpellier 3.2% 30.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.4% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.6% 64.31
Over 1.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.0% 14.32
Over 2.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 2.5 19.7% 5.07
Over 3.5 62.3% 1.61
Under 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 4.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 4.5 57.1% 1.75

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 96.8% 1.03
Monaco / Montpellier 92.2% 1.08
Draw / Montpellier 11.0% 9.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.6
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
4.7
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
8.9
6.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
7.3
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
9.7
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
7.1
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.