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Friday 18 August 2017, 21:45 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
8% 13% 80%
Home win
7.5%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
79.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 7.5% 13.29
Draw 12.9% 7.78
Monaco 79.6% 1.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.92
Over 1.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.3% 10.71
Over 2.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 2.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 3.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 3.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 4.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 4.5 64.2% 1.56

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.7% 1.77
No 43.3% 2.31

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 20.4% 4.91
Metz / Monaco 87.1% 1.15
Draw / Monaco 92.5% 1.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
5.6
9.0
9.1
6.9
4.2
1
1.4
5.6
8.1
8.2
6.2
3.8
2
0.8
2.4
3.6
3.7
2.8
1.7
3
0.2
0.7
1.1
1.1
0.8
0.5
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.