Friday 4 August 2017, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
81%
14%
5%
Home win
80.5%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
5.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 5.4% | 18.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Monaco / Toulouse | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
6.6
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.7
|
8.0
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.5
|
6.8
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
2-2
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
1-0
Toulouse
Mar 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.