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Saturday 6 May 2017, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
11% 21% 68%
Home win
10.8%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
68.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 10.8% 9.24
Draw 20.7% 4.82
Monaco 68.4% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.62
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.53
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.38
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 31.6% 3.17
Nancy / Monaco 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Monaco 89.2% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
13.1
13.8
9.3
4.7
1.9
1
4.0
9.8
9.3
6.2
3.2
1.3
2
1.5
3.1
3.1
2.1
1.1
0.4
3
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.