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Saturday 15 April 2017, 18:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
69% 23% 9%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
8.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 68.8% 1.45
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Nancy 8.6% 11.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.92
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.32
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 13.07
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.5% 3.17
No 68.5% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 91.4% 1.09
Nice / Nancy 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Nancy 31.2% 3.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
18.4
9.4
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.7
7.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
9.9
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.