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Sunday 2 April 2017, 22:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
2–1
HT 2–1
57% 26% 17%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
17.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 57.4% 1.74
Draw 25.7% 3.90
Bordeaux 17.0% 5.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.67
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.42
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.34
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.87
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.8% 2.23
No 55.2% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 83.0% 1.20
Nice / Bordeaux 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Bordeaux 42.6% 2.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
6.2
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
13.7
12.0
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.4
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.6
5.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.