Friday 3 March 2017, 21:45
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
41%
25%
34%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 40.7% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Lyon | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Lyon | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
5.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
11.2
|
8.0
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.7
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.8
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
2.0
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lyon
6-1
Bordeaux
Dec 2021
Bordeaux
2-2
Lyon
Jan 2021
Lyon
2-1
Bordeaux
Sep 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Lyon
Jan 2020
Bordeaux
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2019
Lyon
1-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.