Sunday 19 February 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
69%
18%
13%
Home win
69.4%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Dijon | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Lyon / Dijon | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
7.8
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Dijon
0-1
Lyon
Aug 2020
Lyon
4-1
Dijon
Oct 2019
Lyon
0-0
Dijon
Apr 2019
Lyon
1-3
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-3
Lyon
Apr 2018
Dijon
2-5
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.