Sunday 22 January 2017, 22:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
61.8%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
15.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Marseille | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Lyon / Marseille | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 38.2% | 2.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
10.9
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.8
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Marseille
3-2
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Feb 2025
Marseille
3-2
Lyon
Sep 2024
Lyon
2-3
Marseille
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Dec 2023
Marseille
3-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.