Sunday 15 January 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
29%
25%
45%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
45.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Monaco | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Marseille / Monaco | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
8.0
|
7.2
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
11.9
|
9.3
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
7.2
|
6.0
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Monaco
2-1
Marseille
Dec 2025
Marseille
1-0
Monaco
Apr 2025
Monaco
3-0
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Jan 2024
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.