Wednesday 30 November 2016, 20:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
51%
32%
17%
Home win
51.2%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Marseille | 16.5% | 6.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.2% | 9.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.3% | 29.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| No | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Marseille | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.9
|
8.9
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.0
|
12.2
|
3.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
6.9
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Marseille
5-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2024
Saint Etienne
0-2
Marseille
Apr 2022
Saint Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
3-1
Saint Etienne
May 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Sep 2020
Marseille
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.