Sunday 6 November 2016, 18:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
29%
30%
41%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
41.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Metz / Saint Etienne | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
12.5
|
8.2
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
14.0
|
8.2
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
6.5
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2024
Metz
2-2
Saint Etienne
May 2024
Saint Etienne
2-1
Metz
Mar 2022
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2021
Metz
1-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2020
Metz
2-0
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.