Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
41%
24%
35%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
34.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Monaco | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Metz / Monaco | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
5.1
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
10.5
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
8.7
|
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
5.0
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.2
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Sep 2025
Monaco
5-2
Metz
Mar 2024
Metz
2-5
Monaco
Oct 2023
Monaco
2-1
Metz
Apr 2022
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Dec 2021
Monaco
4-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.