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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
63% 18% 18%
Home win
63.2%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
18.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 63.2% 1.58
Draw 18.3% 5.47
Bordeaux 18.5% 5.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 46.53
Over 1.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.5% 11.81
Over 2.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 2.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 3.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 3.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 4.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 4.5 62.1% 1.61

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.5% 1.42
No 29.5% 3.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 81.5% 1.23
Metz / Bordeaux 81.7% 1.22
Draw / Bordeaux 36.8% 2.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
2.1
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
1
4.2
6.9
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
2
6.1
8.6
6.0
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
5.3
7.5
5.3
2.5
0.9
0.2
4
3.5
5.0
3.5
1.6
0.6
0.2
5
1.8
2.6
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.