Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
56%
21%
23%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
23.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Metz | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.7% | 8.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| No | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Nantes / Metz | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
3.2
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
8.7
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.2
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.8
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
3.8
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2025
Nantes
0-2
Metz
Mar 2024
Nantes
0-2
Metz
Nov 2023
Metz
3-1
Nantes
Feb 2022
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Aug 2021
Nantes
2-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.