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Sunday 28 August 2016, 16:00 Matmut Atlantique Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
19% 12% 68%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
12.4%
Away win
68.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 19.2% 5.21
Draw 12.4% 8.08
Nantes 68.4% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.1% 800.00
Over 1.5 99.5% 1.01
Under 1.5 0.5% 185.19
Over 2.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 2.5 2.5% 40.31
Over 3.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 3.5 7.0% 14.20
Over 4.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 4.5 15.3% 6.54

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 92.4% 1.08
No 7.6% 13.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 31.6% 3.17
Bordeaux / Nantes 87.6% 1.14
Draw / Nantes 80.8% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.3
0.7
1.1
1.3
1.1
1
0.1
0.9
2.0
3.0
3.4
3.1
2
0.3
1.2
2.7
4.1
4.7
4.2
3
0.2
1.1
2.5
3.7
4.2
3.8
4
0.2
0.7
1.7
2.5
2.9
2.6
5
0.1
0.4
0.9
1.4
1.5
1.4
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Nantes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.