Skip to content
Saturday 10 September 2016, 18:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
37% 13% 51%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
12.8%
Away win
50.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 36.6% 2.73
Draw 12.8% 7.80
Bordeaux 50.6% 1.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 11,111.11
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.0% 3,030.30
Over 2.5 99.8% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.2% 456.62
Over 3.5 99.2% 1.01
Under 3.5 0.8% 118.76
Over 4.5 97.6% 1.03
Under 4.5 2.4% 40.82

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 98.8% 1.01
No 1.2% 82.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 49.4% 2.02
Lyon / Bordeaux 87.2% 1.15
Draw / Bordeaux 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.7
2
0.0
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.5
1.6
3
0.1
0.4
1.0
1.8
2.4
2.6
4
0.1
0.4
1.2
2.1
2.9
3.2
5
0.1
0.4
1.1
2.1
2.9
3.1
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.