Friday 19 August 2016, 21:45
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
25%
67%
8%
Home win
24.8%
Draw
67.1%
Away win
8.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Caen | 8.1% | 12.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 7.4% | 13.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.0% | 96.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.1% | 900.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 10,000.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.2% | 30.92 | — | — |
| No | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lyon / Caen | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
64.5
|
7.5
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.6
|
2.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Lyon
4-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Lyon
Mar 2018
Lyon
1-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
1-2
Lyon
Jan 2017
Caen
3-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.