Saturday 15 September 2018, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
17%
24%
59%
Home win
16.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
59.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Lyon | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Caen / Lyon | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
11.4
|
11.1
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.3
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
4.7
|
4.3
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Lyon
4-0
Caen
Mar 2018
Lyon
1-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
1-2
Lyon
Jan 2017
Caen
3-2
Lyon
Aug 2016
Lyon
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.