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Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
Caen
0–0
HT 0–0
Paris Saint Germain
7% 16% 77%
Home win
7.1%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
76.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 7.1% 14.01 — —
Draw 16.1% 6.23 — —
Paris Saint Germain 76.8% 1.30 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.87 — —
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.22 — —
Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Under 2.5 41.8% 2.39 — —
Over 3.5 35.8% 2.79 — —
Under 3.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.30 — —
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37 — —
No 57.9% 1.73 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 23.2% 4.31 — —
Caen / Paris Saint Germain 83.9% 1.19 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 92.9% 1.08 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
11.3
14.1
11.4
6.8
3.3
1
2.6
7.6
8.7
7.0
4.2
2.0
2
0.9
2.2
2.7
2.1
1.3
0.6
3
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Caen
D D L L L
Paris Saint Germain
W W D D L

Head to head

Mar 2019 Caen 1-2 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2018 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Caen Dec 2017 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Caen May 2017 Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Caen Sep 2016 Caen 0-6 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.