Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
65%
23%
12%
Home win
64.7%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
12.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Caen | 12.1% | 8.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.9% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Nice / Caen | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
10.6
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.5
|
5.5
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
0-1
Caen
Aug 2018
Caen
1-1
Nice
Nov 2017
Caen
1-1
Nice
Mar 2017
Nice
2-2
Caen
Nov 2016
Caen
1-0
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.