Sunday 6 May 2018, 22:05
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
56%
24%
21%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Nice | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Marseille / Nice | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
11.1
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.9
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.2
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
1-1
Nice
Nov 2025
Nice
1-5
Marseille
Jan 2025
Nice
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Apr 2024
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Oct 2023
Nice
1-0
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.