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Sunday 29 April 2018, 18:00 Stade Raymond Kopa Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
28% 27% 46%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
45.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 27.5% 3.63
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Marseille 45.8% 2.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.32
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.11
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.53
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.38
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 54.2% 1.84
Angers / Marseille 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Marseille 72.5% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
9.8
8.1
4.2
1.6
0.5
1
7.1
12.7
9.3
4.8
1.8
0.6
2
4.5
6.9
5.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
3
1.7
2.6
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.