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Wednesday 14 March 2018, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
85% 11% 4%
Home win
85.0%
Draw
10.9%
Away win
4.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 85.0% 1.18
Draw 10.9% 9.15
Angers 4.1% 24.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.07
Over 1.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.3% 7.50
Over 2.5 67.8% 1.47
Under 2.5 32.2% 3.11
Over 3.5 46.2% 2.16
Under 3.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 4.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 4.5 72.6% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.4% 2.47
No 59.6% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 95.9% 1.04
Paris Saint Germain / Angers 89.1% 1.12
Draw / Angers 15.0% 6.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
8.6
5.2
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
13.2
7.2
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.9
7.1
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
4
9.5
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
5.6
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.