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Saturday 17 February 2018, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
89% 8% 3%
Home win
89.5%
Draw
7.7%
Away win
2.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 89.5% 1.12
Draw 7.7% 13.02
Strasbourg 2.9% 34.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.8% 55.68
Over 1.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.0% 12.53
Over 2.5 78.2% 1.28
Under 2.5 21.8% 4.58
Over 3.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 3.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 4.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 4.5 60.2% 1.66

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 97.1% 1.03
Paris Saint Germain / Strasbourg 92.3% 1.08
Draw / Strasbourg 10.5% 9.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
5.4
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
10.0
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.8
7.1
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
10.4
6.3
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
7.4
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Strasbourg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.