Wednesday 17 January 2018, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
87%
9%
4%
Home win
86.9%
Draw
9.1%
Away win
4.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.1% | 10.95 | — | — |
| Dijon | 4.0% | 25.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 52.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.3% | 12.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 22.5% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Dijon | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
6.7
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
7.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.3
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Dijon
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 2020
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Dijon
Feb 2020
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Dijon
Nov 2019
Dijon
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
May 2019
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Dijon
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.